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Last Whitepaper

Geopolitical risks

By Dr. Til Bünder, Gerold Grasshoff, Emilia Zimermann

The economic structure around the globe is becoming increasingly complex and trade conflicts and military tensions are posing various risks for national economies, companies and financial institutions. In such a situation of uncertainty, proactive risk management is more important than ever for banks. The current FIRM position paper Banks Navigating Global Crises: Analysis of Geopolitical Risks and their Impact on the Financial Sector summarizes what needs to be considered, how scenarios are defined, quantified and appropriate mitigation measures derived.

The authors Gerold Grasshoff, Dr. Til Bünder and Emilia Zimermann look at the potential impact of recent developments in China, the Middle East and the political change of course in the USA. The analysis focuses on German and European banks: how do geopolitical risks affect their credit, market, liquidity, business, sanctions and cyber risks? The position paper offers comprehensive guidelines for dealing with geopolitical challenges in the financial sector.

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Last Professional Article

The big picture: Controlling the NFR Puzzle

By Sonia Dribek-Pfleger, Dr. Lorenz Schendel

While the individual frameworks of Non-Financial-Risks (NFR) are becoming more detailed and comprehensive with increasing regulatory requirements (e.g. DORA), current challenges (pandemic, cyber, AI, geopolitical crises) and increasing team size and decentralisation of risk management activities, the overall view of non-financial risks is increasingly suffering. In this article, we present both pragmatic approaches for initial steps and a long-term target picture for the holistic management of non-financial risks, with the aim of creating consistency between the various NFR data, making the NFR risk profile transparent and achieving efficient risk management by focusing on the material risks.

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Yearbook 2025

Risk management is a reflection of the issues that affect our society. Because wherever new developments emerge, risks arise. Nowhere is this more evident than in the geopolitical developments that are currently keeping us on tenterhooks. Two years ago, this was still a topic for thought leaders. Today, it is the dominant risk with a direct impact on the economy and society.

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